- Mar 23, 2006
But that's hardly surprising that the fight has gone out of the the Leave side. They've already won.The EU Parliament elections in the UK are going to be interesting.
Neither Labour or the Tories will do well - and may only get a handful of seats.
It'll be an election between Remain and Leave parties.
On the Leave side you'll have Farage's new Brexit Party and UKIP (these days this is more or less like the political wing of the EDL).
On the Remain side you'll see this new Change UK/The Independent Group as well as the Lib Dems, Greens, SNP and Plaid Cymru (plus a few pro-Remain independent candidates).
In a way, I believe the EU Parliament elections will be kind of like a second referendum... or at least an indicative vote!
I also believe Remain candidates will be the big winners.
Macron, and a good few others in the EU have this idea that the UK will return a lot of Farage-like MEPs to the European Parliament. I don't believe this is correct.
As we've seen with the Revoke Article 50 petition and the enormous march in London last month, it has to be said the Remain side are far more energised. The passion in the Leave side just isn't there any more. In the last week we saw the conservative journalists Peter Oborne and Nick Ferrari both turning their back on Leave and are now advocating Remain.
So... I think the Tories and Labour are both going to look at the results of the EU Parliamentary elections and, if there is a big victory for Remain candidates, I think it may push the UK government in to revoking Article 50.
I think the sentiment about staying or leaving the EU is still about 50/50. However it has dawned on everyone just how complicated leaving the EU is and how complicated life outside the EU will be. Britain simply doesn't have enough diplomats and negotiators.But that's hardly surprising that the fight has gone out of the the Leave side. They've already won.
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