no, it was never a question of ryan getting the chair. first half of the govt was with MM as taoiseach, second half with LV.
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also a lot of 'if i have to drive slower it'll mean my trip will take longer MOAR POLUTION'
it'd be an unusual car which gets better fuel economy at 100km/h than it would at 80.
I was thinking about GE 2025 Yesterday.
I might change this one but
GE 2025 Ann post prediction
174 seats in next govt i think - 88 for majority
The narrative that I've seen a lot is 'FF are going to have to in with SF to make a govt'.
I'm starting to not believe that.
I'm going out on a limb a bit but I'm actually slightly suspecting something like this with new seats
FF 32 / FG 28 / GP 20 / SF 50 / IND 20 / SD 10 / PBP 8 / OTHER
In which the same govt is retained.
Why?
FG supporters aren't wild on changing stripes and already have houses
FF supporters are similar, some might flight to SF but MM has been starting paint the odd republican stroke
GP actually did stuff - I might be county bonus lefty greens here too but also the planet got worse.
SF are still a good opposition party but i'm not sure they'll pull the same crowd and might spill into independent weirdo parties. If SF fall short of defined majority than it'd suit the current crop just fine to carry on.
Not Ruling out SF / GP though.
I wonder how many 'pure' Irish work in meat processing plants in Ireland.
another new party has just been officially confirmed too, the 100% mica redress party, to split the vote further.
would their vote come for any one party in particular? it strikes me as a general interest issue, but SF are probably buoyant enough that it wouldn't unduly affect them in donegal?
leo varadkar's account has just retweeted this. they've got their top people on it.
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