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http://www.ladbrokes.com/lbr_portal?action=do_lang_splash&form_name=lang_splash&LANG=ie&STYLE=ie&VIEW=ie&LAYOUT=defaultPhysics Breakthroughs
- Understanding the origin of cosmic rays by 2010 4/1
- The ATLAS experiment at CERN finding the Higgs Boson by 2010 6/1
- The Laser Interferometer Gravitational Wave Observatory (LIGO) detecting gravitational waves by 2010 10/1
- Building a fusion power station by 2010 100/1
They've removed that one now. Bah.“I will certainly have a flutter,” says Jim Hough at the University of Glasgow in the UK and a member of the LIGO team. He is confident that LIGO will catch a gravitational wave before 2010. “I would have put the odds between 2-1 and 10-1.”
In fact, a flurry of bets came in straight away on Thursday for LIGO, one of which was for £50. If successful, this anonymous punter will scoop a whopping £25,000. Ladbrokes responded swiftly to these bets by slashing the odds on LIGO down from 500-1 to 100-1, and later to just 10-1.
According to Ladbrokes, the rank outsider is the Cassini spacecraft, currently orbiting Saturn. On Christmas Day, Cassini will release the wok-shaped Huygens probe on a 20-day journey towards Titan, Saturn’s largest moon. Ladbrokes has set the odds of finding intelligent life on Titan by 2010 at 10,000-1, the maximum odds allowed.
Mark Leese, who manages the surface science package on the Huygens probe at the UK's Open University, is not surprised by the long odds. “Huygens isn’t really designed to find life,” he says. “The only way it would is if something sang into its microphones.”
http://www.newscientist.com/news/news.jsp?id=ns99996331