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https://www.theguardian.com/technology/article/2024/jul/05/hard-to-argue-against-mandatory-speed-limiters-come-to-the-eu-and-ni?CMP=Share_AndroidApp_Other

Skip to 4:45 for the relevant bit.

You have the right to bare arms.

the funny thing is statistics was the module i liked least in college.

Anyway, have there been constituency changes in the UK which might explain this? Change in voter sentiment? Tactical voting? The number of candidates with massive majorities has dropped very noticeably.

FWIW I wasn't angry! Though obviously I came across like that if that's the impression other people got.

https://bsky.app/profile/dasharez0ne.bsky.social/post/3kwkiky4ood2s

FWIW i am not stating it's a logical absurdity that 3% of the voters changed alliegance; i am stating that it's absurd to make that claim based simply on the bare stats available.

...the percentage change in voting across nationalist/unionist lines was accounted for by people changing allegiances, that this was just maths. you *cannot* make this conclusion, it's that simple. the sheer number of variables (and anonymity of the process) make drawing this conclusion a...

i have mentioned here before that i was the photographer at a friend's wedding in the unitarian church, where judith ring and jurgen from the jimmy cake were performing the music. i asked my friend beforehand what was the main song for the ceremony and she told me it was 'wild horses' but in my...

i think success has gone to the poor man's head.

don't come out with an arch 'it's maths, not an opinion', so, if actual maths doesn't support your conclusion.

here's a reductio ad absurdum example. party A and party B, support for whom is split precisely across the electorate. in an election with a 70% turnout, the result could swing from a 50:20 vote for party A vs party B, to a 20:50 vote for party A vs party B, without a single eligible voter...

oh. so you *were* saying that? if you're comparing two elections several years apart, with turnouts of (say) 70%; there is no way you can state definitively that 3% of voters changed allegiance, due to a 3% swing. it is *more* than feasible that the 30% of non-voters (which does not have to be...

i thought you were stating that people had actually jumped ship in an unexpected way. that there were voters who changed allegiance from unionist to SF.

maybe this was the inspiration for count binface.

kinda funny to see the candidate lists up north - one constituency had only five people standing.

i had to google that to see if you were joking.

I don't know what you mean so. A 3% swing could be due to people who had voted before not voting, and people voting who had not voted before. You don't actually need any voters to have done a volte face to achieve that.

Or else it could be shifts in and out of people out who didn't vote. Its only maths if there has been a consistent 100% turnout.