Cormcolash
Well-Known Member
But the government has done such a good job!?!?!?!?!?!?
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Have to bear in mind that deaths come about from a complex mix of factors - we saw lots of cases in vulnerable people at the start (especially those in care homes) whereas the median age is dropping now (and age is the strongest predictor of recovery). So deaths tracked cases for a good while but we’re seeing the virus move through different parts of the population now.Back on topic. The cases go up, then they go down, but the number of cases seems not to correlate to number of deaths that much. TL;DR after months of imbibing stats I still have no clue what any of it means.
This is the usual crack with science, someone finds something that pops out in their data, makes big waves with it, then it fails to replicate in other larger studies. Age is consistently and strongly a predictor of outcome though. Previous or existing illness (though not asthma) have an effect, immunosuppression, and probably a multitude of genetic factors are what are showing an effect on outcome.a lot of the early 'leads' on susceptibility seem to have dropped completely off the radar now, there's very little talk of 'if you had (insert lifestyle choice or exposure to X here) you've much better chances' now.
there was smoking, BCG vaccine, vitamin d/exposure to sunlight, etc.
crap, sorry to hear that.One friend who had an underlying condition had it, recovered, then collapsed and died six weeks later.
signals of these new restrictions (which fall short of a lockdown) strike me as being as much political as health based. there's a general perception out there that the incoming govt have taken their eye off the ball, and this might be seen as much as a flexing of muscles as it is of an attempt to do something meaningful.How we pull out of that nosedive with the current public mood, I have no idea....
Thanks.crap, sorry to hear that.
i would be curious if that was included in the covid 19 fatality statistics.
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